2025 NBA draft lottery: Odds for every team, potential picks

The 2025 NBA draft lottery brings its annual wave of intrigue Monday (7 p.m. ET, ESPN), with the complete league descending on Chicago and offseason proceedings totally underway for many each franchise.

With Cooper Flagg because the consensus projected No. 1 choose and the headliner of the NBA draft, Dylan Harper representing a powerful choice at No. 2, and a number of intriguing younger gamers — a lot of them freshmen — behind them, Monday’s occasion is shaping as much as be a captivating lottery evening, with the fates of at the very least 13 NBA groups hanging closely on which mixtures are drawn.

ESPN NBA draft analysts Jonathan Givony and Jeremy Woo break down the outlook for each staff within the lottery, with intel on their offseason forward and mocking the perfect prospect match for every if the order holds fixed. After all, history suggests it will not, with surprises probably on the horizon.

Here is what it is advisable know waiting for Monday’s draft lottery.

Bounce to a staff:
UTA | WAS | CHA | NOR
PHI | BKN | TOR | SAS | HOU
POR | DAL | CHI | ATL

No. 1 choose odds: 14% | Prime-four choose odds: 52.1%

In the event that they land within the high 4, they need to choose …

1. Cooper Flagg, Duke, SF/PF
2. Dylan Harper, Rutgers, PG
3. Ace Bailey, Rutgers, SG/SF
4. VJ Edgecombe, Baylor, SG

Probably choose in the event that they keep at No. 1: Flagg

Any NBA staff can be thrilled so as to add Flagg, however Utah stands out particularly as needing the star energy of the Duke freshman greater than others. The Jazz made a concerted effort to backside out and end with the league’s worst file (17-65) this season. And Utah is coming off two comparatively fruitless years within the lottery (2022-24), profitable 37 and 31 video games respectively, after buying and selling Rudy Gobert and Donovan Mitchell and formally kick-starting its rebuilding course of.

Whereas he would not resolve all of their points, Flagg would create a giant, versatile and extremely formidable frontcourt alongside Lauri Markkanen (if deemed to suit on Utah’s timetable) and Walker Kessler, whereas being supplied with the kind of shot-creation duty he wants to succeed in his full potential. — Givony

What we’re listening to on the Jazz: Luring star free brokers to Utah has traditionally not been straightforward, placing strain on the entrance workplace to hit house runs within the commerce market and particularly by way of the draft, the place the franchise is well-stocked for future success.

The Jazz have a pair of first-round picks (this, and the No. 21 choose) and second-rounders on this yr’s draft, in addition to a boatload of future picks coming from the Cavaliers, Timberwolves, Lakers and Suns between now and 2031. Utah’s passionate fan base will likely be holding its collective breath on the evening of the lottery, hoping to strike gold with Flagg at No. 1, and worst case, not fall previous No. 2 the place Harper additionally might be a promising long-term match. — Givony

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No. 1 choose odds: 14% | Prime-four choose odds: 52.1%

In the event that they land within the high 4, they need to choose …

1. Flagg
2. Harper
3. Edgecombe
4. Bailey

Probably choose in the event that they keep at No. 2: Harper

Harper is the kind of ballhandling drive the Wizards might use to bolster their offense in the long term, able to placing downhill strain on defenses and making life simpler for teammates. Though Rutgers did not make the NCAA event, Harper had flashes of expertise as a playmaker and scorer, with the ending skill and passing imaginative and prescient to command main utilization. He can be a powerful pick-and-roll companion for lob risk Alex Sarr and has the dimensions to play alongside promising guard Bub Carrington.

His really feel and positional measurement can be a philosophical match for a staff that is nonetheless rebuilding and will make him engaging to each staff within the lottery, with a powerful likelihood at being the No. 2 choose no matter which staff selects there. — Woo

What we’re listening to on the Wizards: The Wizards stand out as a very fascinating touchdown spot for Flagg, who would type a powerful defensive spine with Sarr and have the chance to stretch himself offensively in Washington, as effectively. There are additionally massive followers of Harper on this entrance workplace, and the Rutgers guard would give the Wizards a lead playmaker value constructing their offense round.

Washington stays dedicated to its long-haul course of and can probably play the lottery once more subsequent yr, positioning the Wizards to maintain taking massive swings atop the draft. If their 2024 draft class was any indicator, the Wizards are extremely valuing positional measurement and focusing on younger gamers with robust really feel. If they do not find yourself with a top-two choose, these standards will nonetheless information what course they go. — Woo

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No. 1 choose odds: 14% | Prime-four choose odds: 52.1%

In the event that they land within the high 4, they need to choose …

1. Flagg
2. Harper
3. Bailey
4. Edgecombe

Probably choose in the event that they keep at No. 3: Bailey

Bailey would signify each an immense expertise swing, in addition to a powerful match positionally, bringing in the kind of lengthy, explosive, dynamic perimeter taking pictures wing scorer each NBA staff covets. He is removed from reaching his potential however confirmed flashes of greatness as a freshman at Rutgers.

He can be a superb match on paper with the dynamic playmaking prowess of Charlotte’s LaMelo Ball and the offensive versatility, talent degree and really feel for the sport of Brandon Miller, serving to to doubtlessly reduce a few of Bailey’s shortcomings in these departments. — Givony

What we’re listening to on the Hornets: Lower than two years faraway from an possession change and an overhaul of the entrance workplace and training workers, the Hornets are nonetheless firmly in expertise acquisition mode, with loads driving on the outcomes of this yr’s draft lottery to propel them out of the doldrums of the NBA.

Miller, the Hornets’ 2023 No. 2 choose, has proven appreciable promise when wholesome, however missed much of the season with a wrist damage and different illnesses. A giant resolution awaits with the 23-year-old Ball, who has been talked about as a possible commerce candidate, however he has performed in solely 105 video games prior to now three seasons due to accidents.

After the failed Mark Williams commerce with the Lakers at the deadline, and a considerably discouraging season from rookie Tidjane Salaun, the Hornets have time on their aspect however might sorely use good luck on Could 12 to propel the franchise in a extra outlined course. — Givony

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No. 1 choose odds: 12.5% | Prime-four choose odds: 48.1%

In the event that they land within the high 4, they need to choose …

1. Flagg
2. Harper
3. Edgecombe
4. Bailey

Probably choose in the event that they keep at No. 4: Edgecombe

Edgecombe would presumably be fairly interesting to New Orleans, a staff that has been wanting for younger star energy within the backcourt. There will likely be loads of debate and variance from staff to staff on which prospect ought to rank third as soon as Flagg and Harper are off the board, making this vary of the draft notably fascinating to parse because the mix approaches.

Some across the league view Edgecombe as a barely safer selection than Bailey, and he may make extra sense for the Pelicans even when each can be found. Edgecombe’s physicality and room to develop as a ballhandling choice give him an excellent quantity of upside, however there is a great distance for him to go to shoulder that enormous a job. — Woo

What we’re listening to on the Pelicans: It stays to be seen what sort of strategy the Pelicans will take within the draft with veteran executives Joe Dumars and Troy Weaver now atop the decision-making tree, one thing rival groups are curious to evaluate. New Orleans has been treading water the previous few seasons, with premature accidents and Zion Williamson‘s struggles to get on monitor defining their outcomes.

There is definitely sufficient expertise on the roster {that a} constructive turnaround subsequent season must be a possible aim, making this doubtlessly the Pelicans’ finest likelihood to select close to the highest of the draft for the foreseeable future. Neither Dumars nor Weaver have traditionally shied away from taking a giant swing, which might make them a wild-card staff each within the draft and within the commerce market as they inherit a comparatively pleasant scenario from a personnel and draft choose perspective. — Woo

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No. 1 choose odds: 10.5% | Prime-four choose odds: 42.1%

In the event that they land within the high 4, they need to choose …

1. Flagg
2. Harper
3. Bailey
4. Edgecombe

Probably choose in the event that they keep at No. 5: Jeremiah Fears, Oklahoma, level guard

Each Fears and Tre Johnson will likely be getting appears even greater than this slot — doubtlessly beginning at No. 3, as there may be fairly a little bit of enthusiasm in NBA circles round each prospects’ long-term futures. Fears’ late-season performances within the SEC and NCAA tournaments highlighted the numerous star energy and potential he possesses as a major shot creator who can get paint touches at will, rating in a wide range of methods and discover teammates creatively on the transfer.

Johnson’s superior positional match (alongside Tyrese Maxey and Jared McCain), readiness to contribute and his measurement and size will preserve him firmly in conversations right here, too, with the result of exercises, interviews and background analysis prone to have vital sway by which course the Sixers (or different groups choosing on this vary) find yourself going. — Givony

What we’re listening to on the 76ers: The 76ers went from being one of many top-five contenders in Las Vegas preseason odds to win the championship to ending with the NBA’s fifth-worst file (24-58). Issues might go from dangerous to worse on the evening of the draft lottery if two or extra groups bounce forward and push Philadelphia right down to the No. 7 choose or decrease, that means their choose can be conveyed to Oklahoma Metropolis as a part of the Al Horford commerce in 2020.

If the Sixers do land within the high six (they’ve a 64.6% likelihood), they will not have a straightforward resolution to make. Do they appear to draft the participant finest outfitted to assist this iteration of their roster win video games subsequent season, or go together with the prospect they assume would be the finest participant in 5 years’ time? — Givony

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No. 1 choose odds: 9.0% | Prime-four choose odds: 37.2%

In the event that they land within the high 4, they need to choose …

1. Flagg
2. Harper
3. Bailey
4. Edgecombe

Probably choose in the event that they keep at No. 6: Tre Johnson, Texas, taking pictures guard

Johnson has elevated his draft inventory after a season that showcased his scoring prowess, albeit on the expense of some effectivity. Whereas the Nets have leaned closely the previous couple of seasons on Cam Thomas — one other 2-guard who may be equally ball-dominant — Johnson’s measurement, youth and offensive upside make him value consideration for a staff that owned the third-worst offensive score final season.

Johnson’s tendency to take powerful photographs and bouts of overaggressiveness make him polarizing for scouts, however he is likely one of the draft’s extra gifted scorers in an offense-driven league. He’d be a participant value growing who might step into a giant function instantly in Brooklyn. — Woo

What we’re listening to on the Nets: The excitement from rival groups has been the Nets aren’t planning for a real long-haul tank, even after reacquiring their very own picks final summer season. The Nets have the most salary-cap space within the league this offseason, however with a top-heavy 2026 draft on the horizon and a roster in want of main modifications with the intention to compete for a playoff spot, persistence remains to be a advantage right here.

Brooklyn, at present missing a centerpiece-caliber participant, is in place to swing for upside with this choose no matter the place it falls within the lottery because it figures out what the subsequent iteration of its staff will appear to be. The Nets can afford to attend till the appropriate star turns into obtainable to shift gears. — Woo

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No. 1 choose odds: 7.5% | Prime-four choose odds: 31.9%

In the event that they land within the high 4, they need to choose …

1. Flagg
2. Harper
3. Bailey
4. Edgecombe

Probably choose in the event that they keep at No. 7: Khaman Maluach, Duke, middle

A powerful end to the season — going 22-21 over the ultimate 43 video games — diminished the Raptors’ lottery probabilities and left them hoping for luck just like 2021 after they moved from No. 7 to No. 4 and chosen eventual NBA Rookie of the 12 months and All-Star Scottie Barnes. With Jakob Poeltl getting into the ultimate team-controlled season of his contract (participant choice for 2026-27), it is smart to contemplate his successor, as he’ll flip 30 earlier than the beginning of the 2025-26 common season.

Maluach brings the kind of size, defensive versatility, depth and character Toronto’s entrance workplace has usually coveted, and he’s somebody the Raptors will be intimately familiar with given their previous draft historical past and Maluach’s South Sudanese and NBA Academy Africa background. (The Raptors drafted the primary participant from NBA Academy Africa, Ulrich Chomche, final June.) — Givony

What we’re listening to on the Raptors: Surrounding Barnes with the appropriate gamers and discovering the optimum technique for compensating for his inconsistent 3-point taking pictures will proceed to be a entrance workplace precedence, particularly with Brandon Ingram within the fold.

With many of the staff’s core between 21 to 27 years outdated, will probably be fascinating to see what sort of offensive bounce the Raptors could make subsequent season. The staff’s course with this choose — be it a guard, wing, ahead or massive man — will shed perception into the way to view this current group. — Givony

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No. 1 choose odds: 6.0% | Prime-four choose odds: 26.3%

In the event that they land within the high 4, they need to choose …

1. Flagg
2. Harper
3. Edgecombe
4. Bailey

Probably choose in the event that they keep at No. 8: Kasparas Jakucionis, Illinois, level guard/taking pictures guard

Jakucionis enters the NBA with the caliber of offensive creativity, intangibles and worldwide background which have historically been engaging to the Spurs group.

Whereas San Antonio has considerably improved its backcourt prior to now yr by drafting Stephon Castle and buying and selling for De’Aaron Fox, the Spurs must be interested in Jakucionis’ perimeter taking pictures, unselfishness and skill to play each guard spots, a talent set that provides him avenues to changing into a high quality supporting participant on an NBA roster and that is smart as a developmental funding for the long term. — Woo

What we’re listening to on the Spurs: San Antonio has designs on getting a wholesome Victor Wembanyama to the playoffs subsequent season, which implies it would discover all avenues to enhance its roster within the quick time period and will likely be concerned within the free-agent commerce marketplace for established expertise.

Wembanyama’s youth and the energy of the Spurs’ place has allowed them to maintain the lengthy view in thoughts, as evidenced by draft evening final yr after they traded the No. 8 choose to Minnesota for future property. Drafting effectively and setting a sustainable long-term basis round their 21-year-old rising star stays necessary.

The Fox commerce signaled the Spurs’ willingness to be aggressive in accelerating their timeline, and the course they take with these draft picks may be a referendum on how they view their very own wants and the match of different younger gamers on the roster. — Woo

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No. 1 choose odds: 3.8% | Prime-four choose odds: 17.3%

In the event that they land within the high 4, they need to choose …

1. Flagg
2. Harper
3. Bailey
4. Edgecombe

Probably choose in the event that they keep at No. 9: Kon Knueppel, Duke, taking pictures guard/small ahead

The Rockets acquired Phoenix’s first-round choose, unprotected, as a part of a fancy swap with Brooklyn that ought to yield vital dividends in coming years. After a 52-20 common season, the Rockets were upset in the first round of the playoffs by the No. 7 seed Golden State Warriors, shedding in seven video games whereas exhibiting shortcomings by way of their lack of expertise and inconsistency on the offensive finish.

With 2023 and 2024 first-rounders Cam Whitmore and Reed Sheppard struggling for minutes on a deep and gifted roster, it stays to be seen what the urge for food in Houston will likely be for including one other younger participant to the combo.

Knueppel’s perimeter taking pictures, really feel for the sport, toughness and maturity would seemingly give him a greater likelihood of cracking the lineup and including worth within the close to time period than different prospects on this vary, particularly if the franchise pivots to a Sheppard/Amen Thompson backcourt down the street, with Jalen Green in a position to turn out to be an unrestricted free agent in 2027. — Givony

What we’re listening to on the Rockets: The Rockets will likely be a major hub for commerce exercise within the lead as much as draft evening, as their roster is clearly in a distinct place than every other staff deciding on within the lottery concerning the franchise’s timetable.

There’s prone to be vital debate about what the Rockets ought to do with this choose, as they’re a main goal for an “all-in” sort of transfer for a veteran star like Giannis Antetokounmpo, Kevin Durant, or Ja Morant, but in addition they’ve wage cap and luxurious tax implications to consider long-term with Inexperienced and Alperen Sengun‘s extensions kicking on this offseason — and vital expenditure on the horizon with a number of different massive choices looming within the type of Fred VanVleet‘s staff choice and Steven Adams‘ unrestricted free company. — Givony

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No. 1 choose odds: 3.8% | Prime-four choose odds: 16.9%

In the event that they land within the high 4, they need to choose …

1. Flagg
2. Harper
3. Bailey
4. Edgecombe

Probably choose in the event that they keep at No. 10: Derik Queen, Maryland, energy ahead/middle

Queen brings a degree of offensive upside that separates him from the opposite massive males on this draft, however he’ll should sharpen his habits and switch in additional effort defensively to maximise his alternative to excel within the NBA.

The Path Blazers have a superb rim protector in Donovan Clingan who might assist cowl for Queen in double-big lineups, making him an fascinating consideration on this spot if Portland is prepared to swing on his expertise and play that means. Having an inside playmaker akin to Queen may take some strain off their guards and finally make their offense extra dynamic. — Woo

What we’re listening to on the Path Blazers: Portland’s roster took a small however necessary step ahead this season, with inner growth and the addition of Deni Avdija placing them inside placing distance of a play-in spot. Possession rewarded general manager Joe Cronin and coach Chauncey Billups with extensions, offering Blazers management some added stability transferring ahead.

There’s nonetheless work to do to enhance the staff, with Clingan serving to solidify the protection, Toumani Camara wanting like a discover and Scoot Henderson ideally prepared for extra duty. Rival groups have been curious as to what Portland’s aggressive timeframe in the end appears like, and the course it takes this offseason will likely be indicative of its urgency to compete. An unlikely stroke of luck within the lottery can be large in figuring out that course. — Woo

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No. 1 choose odds: 1.8% | Prime-four choose odds: 8.5%

In the event that they land within the high 4, they need to choose …

1. Flagg
2. Harper
3. Edgecombe
4. Bailey

Probably choose in the event that they keep at No. 11: Collin Murray-Boyles, South Carolina, energy ahead

Murray-Boyles must be able to contribute off the bench subsequent season, with a degree of toughness and maturity to his sport that scouts respect. His productiveness and consistency, even in a shedding scenario at South Carolina, has saved him within the first-round image and will make him a consideration for groups that might use rapid depth, akin to Dallas.

The Mavs have a real rim protector in Dereck Lively II, who would permit Murray-Boyles to play the 4 spot, the function he is finest suited to bodily, and he may be a direct worth add right here. In a draft class stacked with youthful prospects, the Mavs may need to goal a barely extra skilled participant right here. — Woo

What we’re listening to on the Mavericks:

Fallout from the Luka Doncic commerce remains to be reverberating across the NBA, with Mavericks normal supervisor Nico Harrison inserting himself and the staff beneath an enormous microscope going into subsequent season.

Dallas having its personal choose — and a small likelihood at transferring up within the draft — is probably some small recompense after a wave of accidents successfully ended its season. The Mavericks must be out there for a rookie who might help the roster instantly or to make use of this choose to improve the staff by different means, because the aggressive window with Kyrie Irving and Anthony Davis, assuming full well being, does not seem like a very lengthy one. — Woo

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No. 1 choose odds: 1.8% | Prime-four choose odds: 8%

In the event that they land within the high 4, they need to choose …

1. Flagg
2. Harper
3. Bailey
4. Edgecombe

Probably choose in the event that they keep at No. 12: Egor Demin, BYU, level guard/taking pictures guard

The Bulls will definitely be hoping for a repeat of final yr’s draft, the place Matas Buzelis inexplicably fell out of the highest 5 to the eleventh choose, rising as a major discover because the season moved on.

Egor Demin is a extra polarizing prospect however will likely be studied intently by each staff drafting on this vary along with his excellent positional measurement, really feel for the sport, playmaking prowess and long-term upside. His match alongside Josh Giddey, who’s a restricted free agent, will must be thought of together with Giddey’s standing, however he is the kind of multi-positional prospect who might slot in a wide range of lineups if his perimeter taking pictures progresses as anticipated. — Givony

What we’re listening to on the Bulls: The Bulls continued to fortunately tread water this season, shedding within the opening spherical of the play-in event after a 39-43 season, a decade faraway from their final playoff sequence win.

The DeMar DeRozan and Zach LaVine trades signaled the beginning of a brand new period in Chicago, leaving the fanbase with little star energy to understand onto and looking for readability on the franchise’s long-term course.

The Bulls will probably have to shake up the roster in a extra severe strategy to have a viable likelihood of avoiding the play-in event within the close to future. Giddey’s restricted free company and Coby White‘s availability for an extension will play a major function in how the Bulls’ salary-cap sheet and roster look long-term, however the entrance workplace have holes to fill each within the frontcourt and on the wing. — Givony

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No. 1 choose odds: 0.8% | Prime-four choose odds: 3.8%

In the event that they land within the high 4, they need to choose …

1. Flagg
2. Harper
3. Bailey
4. Edgecombe

Probably choose if the Hawks keep at No. 13: Jase Richardson, Michigan State, level guard/taking pictures guard

Richardson made an excellent case for himself this season as a stable complementary participant with room to develop, displaying well-rounded skill at Michigan State and stable effort taking part in on and off the ball. That versatility is smart with the Hawks’ present personnel as a plug-and-play choice, rotating in behind and alongside Trae Young and Dyson Daniels with the power to steadiness lineups.

The Hawks also needs to be contemplating bigs at this spot to develop frontcourt depth, with names akin to Joan Beringer and Noa Essengue (each worldwide gamers) providing fascinating upside. — Woo

What we’re listening to on the Hawks and Kings: Sacramento solely retains this choose if it jumps into the highest 4, in any other case it stays with Atlanta. This might be an apparent coup for the Kings, however these odds are at 3.8%.

The Hawks are getting into the offseason in wake of possession firing Landry Fields, selling Onsi Saleh to general manager, and are out there for a president of basketball operations.

The massive query for Atlanta, because it appears to be yearly, is what’s going to occur with Trae Young, whose season ended on a bitter be aware in a play-in sport loss to the Magic. There was thought for a while that the Hawks may transfer on from Younger, however he has additionally been a difficult proposition on the commerce market due to his sizable contract and Atlanta’s struggles to construct a constant winner round him. The Hawks made progress with their roster final season, with Dyson Daniels breaking by way of and Zaccharie Risacher changing into a direct fixture, however these lingering questions will want answering this offseason. — Woo

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No. 14 San Antonio (by way of Atlanta)

No. 1 choose odds: 0.8% | Prime-four choose odds: 3.4%

In the event that they land within the high 4, they need to choose …

1. Flagg
2. Harper
3. Bailey
4. Edgecombe

Probably choose in the event that they keep at No. 14: Will Riley, Illinois, taking pictures guard/small ahead

The Spurs obtain this choose, their second lottery choice, as a part of the shrewd 2022 Dejounte Murray commerce that can even yield an unprotected Hawks choose in 2027. The Spurs are in probably the most enviable place of any staff within the lottery, with back-to-back NBA Rookie of the 12 months winners on cost-controlled contracts with Wembanyama and Fort, and fairly a number of draft picks and swap rights coming their means in coming years.

Including taking pictures each on the perimeter and within the frontcourt probably will likely be a precedence for the franchise long-term, with the likes of Jakucionis, Knueppel, Riley and Carter Bryant (Arizona) all prone to get lengthy appears with the eighth and 14th picks. — Givony

What we’re listening to on the Spurs: The Spurs traded out of the eighth choose final yr in change for Minnesota’s 2031 unprotected first-round choose and a 2030 top-one protected choose swap, signaling their willingness to take a affected person strategy to constructing out the roster. They began to money in on their choose haul with the Fox trade in February, and the way they strategy this yr’s draft will inform us fairly a bit about how they view the roster long-term.

Will they proceed so as to add younger gamers to encompass Wembanyama, or do they swing for the fences for a veteran star akin to Durant or Antetokounmpo to try to take a bigger step towards championship competition? — Givony

Jonathan Givony is an NBA draft knowledgeable and the founder and co-owner of DraftExpress.com, a non-public scouting and analytics service utilized by NBA, NCAA and worldwide groups.

Jeremy Woo is an NBA analyst specializing in prospect analysis and the draft. He was beforehand a workers author and draft insider at Sports activities Illustrated.