Selection Awards Circuit part is the house for all awards information and associated content material all year long, that includes the next: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony Awards ceremonies, curated by Selection senior awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages mirror the present standings within the race and don’t mirror private preferences for any particular person contender. As different formal (and casual) polls counsel, competitions are fluid and topic to alter based mostly on buzz and occasions. Predictions are up to date each Thursday.
Go to the prediction pages for the respective ceremonies by way of the hyperlinks under:
OSCARS | EMMYS | GRAMMYS | TONYS
2025 Oscars Predictions:
Greatest Unique Screenplay
Weekly Commentary (Up to date Aug. 8, 2024): Originality usually performs a big position on this class, which incessantly aligns with the most effective image race.
Sean Baker may lastly obtain recognition together with his darkish comedy “Anora.” On the identical time, the status of the World Struggle II epic “Blitz” and the musical “Emilia Pérez” are more likely to be on the forefront of voters’ minds.
The “x issue” on this race is Jason Reitman’s “Saturday Night time,” a movie that delves into the primary episode of the long-running NBC sketch present “Saturday Night time Dwell” with a powerful performing ensemble. Reitman hasn’t been nominated since his work on “Juno” (in directing) and “Up within the Air” (double nominated for tailored screenplay and directing). Might this be the yr he makes his return to the awards circuit?
Extra to come back.
Read: All Primetime Emmy predictions in every category on Variety’s Awards Circuit.
The 97th Oscars shall be held on Sunday, March 2. The total rankings are under. All film listings, titles, distributors, and credited producers usually are not remaining and are topic to alter.
** denotes the movie shouldn’t be but dated or can open in 2025.
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And the Predicted Nominees Are
Rank Performer & Movie 1 “Blitz” (Apple Unique Movies) — Steve McQueen 2 “Anora” (Neon) — Sean Baker 3 “Emilia Pérez” (Netflix) — Jacques Audiard 4 “A Actual Ache” (Searchlight Photos) — Jesse Eisenberg 5 “Saturday Night time” (Sony Photos) — Gil Kenan, Jason Reitman Oscars: Greatest Unique Screenplay (Selection Awards Circuit Predictions) -
Subsequent in Line
Rank Performer & Movie 6 “His Three Daughters” (Netflix) — Azazel Jacobs 7 “The Seed of the Sacred Fig” (Neon) — Mohammad Rasoulof 8 “All We Think about as Mild” (Janus Movies/Sideshow) — Payal Kapadia 9 “The Finish” (Neon) — Joshua Oppenheimer, Rasmus Heisterberg 10 “We Grown Now” (Sony Photos Classics) — Minhal Baig Oscars: Greatest Tailored Screenplay (Selection Awards Circuit Predictions) -
Different Contenders
Rank Performer & Movie 11 “Challengers” (Amazon MGM) — Justin Kuritzkes 12 “Within the Summers” (Music Field Movies) — Alessandra Lacorazza Samudio 13 “Maria” (No U.S. Distribution) — Steven Knight ** 14 “Dìdi” (Focus Options) — Sean Wang 15 “Higher Man” (Paramount Photos) — Michael Gracey, Oliver Cole, Simon Gleeson 16 “Memoir of a Snail” (IFC Movies) — Adam Elliot 17 “Thelma” (Magnolia Photos) — Josh Margolin 18 “Kneecap” (Sony Photos Classics) — Wealthy Peppiatt, Liam Óg Ó Hannaidh, Naoise Ó Cairealláin, JJ Ó Dochartaigh 19 “Evil Does Not Exist” (Sideshow) — Ryusuke Hamaguchi 20 “We Dwell in Time” (A24) — Nick Payne Oscars: Greatest Tailored Screenplay (Selection Awards Circuit Predictions) -
Eligible Writers (Greatest Unique Screenplay)
** This checklist is incomplete and never but finalized. Not all movies have distribution or launch dates. All are topic to alter.
- “All We Think about as Mild” (Janus Movies/Sideshow) — Payal Kapadia
- “Anora” (Neon) — Sean Baker
- “The Apprentice” (No U.S. Distribution) — Gabriel Sherman **
- “Babygirl” (A24) — Halina Reijn
- “Higher Man” (Paramount Photos) — Michael Gracey, Oliver Cole, Simon Gleeson
- “Between the Temples” (Sony Photos Classics) — Nathan Silver, C. Mason Wells
- “The Bikeriders” (Focus Options) — Jeff Nichols
- “Chook” (Mubi) — Andrea Arnold
- “Blink Twice” (Amazon MGM) — Zoë Kravitz, E.T. Feigenbaum
- “Blitz” (Apple Unique Movies) — Steve McQueen
- “Bob Marley: One Love” (Paramount Photos) — Terence Winter, Frank E. Flowers, Zach Baylin, Reinaldo Marcus Inexperienced
- “The Brutalist” (No U.S. Distribution) — Brady Corbet, Mona Fastvold
- “Challengers” (Amazon MGM) — Justin Kuritzkes
- “Civil Struggle” (A24) — Alex Garland
- “Daddio” (Sony Photos Classics) — Christy Corridor
- “The Deb” (No U.S. Distribution) — Hannah Reilly, Insurgent Wilson **
- “The Deliverance” (Netflix) — David Coggeshall, Elijah Bynum
- “A Completely different Man” (A24) — Aaron Schimberg
- “Dìdi” (Focus Options) — Sean Wang
- “Echo Valley” (Apple Unique Movies) — Brad Inglesby **
- “Eden” (No U.S. Distribution) — Noah Pink **
- “Emilia Pérez” (Netflix) — Jacques Audiard **
- “The Finish” (Neon) — Joshua Oppenheimer, Rasmus Heisterberg
- “Evil Does Not Exist” (Sideshow) — Ryusuke Hamaguchi
- “Fancy Dance” (Apple Unique Movies) — Erica Tremblay, Miciana Alise
- “Circulate” (Janus Movies/Sideshow) — Gints Zilbalodis, Matīss Kaža
- “Exhausting Truths” (Bleecker Avenue) — Mike Leigh
- “Heretic” (A24) — Scott Beck, Bryan Woods
- “His Three Daughters” (Netflix) — Azazel Jacobs
- “Horizon: An American Saga — Chapter 1” (Warner Bros.) — Jon Baird, Kevin Costner, Mark Kasdan
- “I Noticed the TV Glow” (A24) — Jane Schoenbrun
- “IF” (Paramount Photos) — John Krasinski
- “Within the Summers” (Music Field Movies) — Alessandra Lacorazza Samudio
- “Janet Planet” (A24) — Annie Baker
- “Ok-Pops” (No U.S. Distribution) — Anderson .Paak, Khaila Amazan **
- “Sorts of Kindness” (Searchlight Photos) — Yorgos Lanthimos, Efthimis Filippou
- “Kneecap” (Sony Photos Classics) — Wealthy Peppiatt, Liam Óg Ó Hannaidh, Naoise Ó Cairealláin, JJ Ó Dochartaigh
- “The Final Showgirl” (No U.S. Distribution) — Kate Gersten **
- “Longlegs” (Neon) — Osgood Perkins
- “Love Lies Bleeding” (A24) — Rose Glass, Weronika Tofilska
- “Maria” (No U.S. Distribution) — Steven Knight **
- “Meet the Barbarians” (No U.S. Distribution) — Julie Delpy, Matthieu Rumani, Nicolas Slomka **
- “Megalopolis” (Lionsgate) — Francis Ford Coppola
- “Memoir of a Snail” (IFC Movies) — Adam Elliot
- “Millers in Marriage” (No U.S. Distribution) — Edward Burns **
- “Misericordia” (Janus Movies) — Alain Guiraudie **
- “Monkey Man” (Common Photos) — Dev Patel, Paul Angunawela, John Collee
- “My Previous Ass” (Amazon MGM) — Megan Park
- “On Changing into a Guinea Fowl” (A24) — Rungano Nyoni
- “Parthenope” (A24) — Paolo Sorrentino
- “Quisling – The Ultimate Days” (No U.S. Distribution) — Anna Bache-Wiig, Ravn Lanesskog, Siv Rajendram Eliassen **
- “A Actual Ache” (Searchlight Photos) — Jesse Eisenberg
- “Relay” (No U.S. Distribution) — Justin Piasecki **
- “Riff Raff” (No U.S. Distribution) — John Pollono **
- “Rumours” (Bleecker Avenue) — Man Maddin, Evan Johnson, Galen Johnson
- “Sasquatch Sundown” (Bleecker Avenue) — David Zellner
- “Saturday Night time” (Sony Photos) — Gil Kenan, Jason Reitman
- “The Seed of the Sacred Fig” (Neon) — Mohammad Rasoulof
- “Shirley” (Netflix) — John Ridley
- “The Shrouds” (No U.S. Distribution) — David Cronenberg **
- “Spellbound” (Netflix) — Lauren Hynek, Elizabeth Martin, Julia Miranda
- “Stopmotion” (IFC/Shudder) — Robert Morgan, Robin King
- “The Substance” (Mubi) — Coralie Fargeat
- “Thelma” (Magnolia Photos) — Josh Margolin
- “Tuesday” (A24) — Daina O. Pusić
- “We Grown Now” (Sony Photos Classics) — Minhal Baig
- “We Dwell in Time” (A24) — Nick Payne
- “Girl of the Hour” (Netflix) — Ian MacAllister McDonald
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Extra Data (Oscars: Greatest Unique Screenplay)
2024 class winner: “Anatomy of a Fall” (Neon) — Arthur Harari & Justine Triet
2024-2025 Oscars Calendar and Timeline (all dates are topic to alter)
- Eligibility interval: Jan. 1, 2024 – Dec. 31, 2024
- Basic entry, greatest image, RAISE submission deadline: Thursday, Nov. 14, 2024
- Governors Awards: Sunday, Nov. 17, 2024
- Preliminary voting begins Monday, Dec. 9, 2024, at 9 a.m. PT.
- Preliminary voting ends Friday, Dec. 13, 2024, at 5 p.m. PT.
- Oscar Shortlists Announcement: Tuesday, Dec. 17, 2024
- Eligibility interval ends: Tuesday, Dec. 31, 2024
- Nominations voting begins Wednesday, Jan. 8, 2025, at 9 a.m. PT.
- Nominations voting ends Sunday, Jan. 12, 2025, at 5 p.m. PT.
- Oscar Nominations Announcement: Friday, Jan. 17, 2025
- Oscar Nominees Luncheon: Monday, Feb. 10, 2025
- Ultimate voting begins Tuesday, Feb. 11, 2025, at 9 a.m. PT
- Ultimate voting ends: Tuesday, Feb. 18, 2025, at 5 p.m. PT
- Scientific and Technical Awards: Tuesday, Feb. 18, 2025
- 97th Oscars: Sunday, March 2, 2025
Oscars Prediction Classes
Concerning the Academy Awards
The Academy Awards, higher referred to as the Oscars, is Hollywood’s most prestigious creative award within the movie trade. Since 1927, nominees and winners have been chosen by members of the Academy of Movement Image Arts and Sciences (AMPAS). Seventeen branches are represented throughout the almost 10,000-person membership. The branches are actors, associates, casting administrators, cinematographers, costume designers, administrators, documentary, executives, movie editors, make-up and hairstylists, advertising and public relations, members-at-large, members-at-large (artists’ representatives), music, producers, manufacturing design, brief movies and have animation, sound, visible results and writers.