BBC Information, Copenhagen

Residents of Greenland head to the polls on Tuesday in a vote that in earlier years has drawn little outdoors consideration – however which can show pivotal for the Arctic territory’s future.
US President Donald Trump’s repeated curiosity in buying Greenland has put it firmly within the highlight and fuelled the longstanding debate on the island’s future ties with Copenhagen.
“There’s by no means been a highlight like this on Greenland earlier than,” says Nauja Bianco, a Danish-Greenlandic coverage knowledgeable on the Arctic.
Greenland has been managed by Denmark – practically 3,000km (1,860 miles) away – for about 300 years. It governs its personal home affairs, however selections on international and defence coverage are made in Copenhagen.
Now, 5 out of six events on the poll favour Greenland’s independence from Denmark, differing solely on how shortly that ought to come about.
The controversy over independence has been “placed on steroids by Trump”, says Masaana Egede, editor of Greenlandic newspaper Sermitsiaq.
The island’s strategic location and untapped mineral sources have caught the US president’s eye. He first floated the thought of shopping for Greenland throughout his first time period in 2019.
Since taking workplace once more in January, he has reiterated his intention to accumulate the territory. Greenland and Denmark’s leaders have repeatedly rebuffed his calls for.
Addressing the US Congress final week, nonetheless, Trump once more doubled down. “We want Greenland for nationwide safety. Somehow we’re gonna get it,” he stated, prompting applause and laughter from quite a lot of politicians, together with Vice-President JD Vance.

In Nuuk, his phrases struck a nerve with politicians who had been fast to sentence them. “We should be handled with respect and I do not suppose the American president has carried out that these days since he took workplace,” Prime Minister Mute Egede stated.
Nonetheless, the US curiosity has stoked requires Greenland to interrupt away from Denmark, with a lot of the controversy targeted on when – not if – the method of independence ought to start.
Greenland’s independence objective just isn’t new, Nauja Bianco factors out, and has been many years within the making.
A string of revelations about previous mistreatment of Inuit individuals by the Danes have damage Greenlandic public opinion about Denmark. Earlier this yr, PM Egede stated the territory ought to free itself from “the shackles of colonialism”.
However it’s the first time the topic has taken centre stage in an election.

Inuit Ataqatigiit (IA), the occasion of Prime Minister Mute Egede, favours gradual steps in the direction of autonomy. “Residents should really feel safe,” he informed native media.
Arctic knowledgeable Martin Breum says Egede’s dealing with of the problem from Trump and powerful phrases towards Denmark over previous colonial wrongdoings “will give him loads of votes”.
Smaller rivals may additionally acquire floor and doubtlessly shake up alliances.
Opposition occasion Naleraq desires to right away kick-off divorce proceedings from Copenhagen and have nearer defence dealings with Washington.
Pointing to Greenland’s EU departure and Brexit, occasion chief Pele Broberg has stated that Greenland may very well be “out of the Danish kingdom in three years”.
Naleraq is fielding the biggest variety of candidates and has gained momentum by using the wave of discontent with Denmark.
“Naleraq will even be a bigger issue too in parliament,” predicts Mr Breum, who says occasion candidates have carried out nicely on TV and on social media.
Nevertheless, the centre-right Demokraatit occasion believes it’s too quickly to push for independence.
“The economic system must be a lot stronger than it’s as we speak,” occasion candidate Justus Hansen informed Reuters.
Greenland’s economic system is pushed by fishing, and authorities spending depends on annual subsidies from Denmark.
Discuss of Trump and independence has overshadowed different key points for voters, says newspaper editor Masaana Egede.
“It is an election the place we ought to be speaking about healthcare, care of the aged and social issues. Virtually all the things is about independence.”
In response to current polls, nearly 80% of Greenlanders again strikes in the direction of future statehood.
About 44,000 persons are eligible to vote, and given the low numbers and few polls, outcomes are tough to forecast.
Although a majority of Greenlanders favour independence, a survey has shown that half could be much less keen about independence if that meant decrease dwelling requirements.
One ballot discovered that 85% of Greenlanders don’t want to change into part of the USA, and practically half see Trump’s curiosity as a risk.

One concern amongst some Greenlanders, says Masaana Egede, is how lengthy the Arctic island may stay unbiased and whether or not it could break off from Denmark solely to have one other nation “standing on our coasts and begin taking up”.
Consultants say it’s this fear that might steer votes in the direction of protecting the established order.
Though Greenland’s proper to self-determination is enshrined into regulation by the 2009 Self-Rule Act, there are a number of steps to take earlier than the territory may break free from Denmark, together with holding a referendum.
This implies getting full independence may take “about 10 to fifteen years,” says Kaj Kleist, a veteran Greenlandic politician and civil servant who ready the Self-Rule Act.
“There may be lot of preparation and negotiations with the Danish authorities earlier than you can also make {that a} actuality,” he provides.
Regardless of the election’s end result, consultants don’t imagine Greenland may change into unbiased earlier than Trump’s second time period is over in 2028.
The outcomes are anticipated within the early hours of Wednesday.