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WNBA Finals 2025: Las Vegas Aces-Phoenix Mercury preview

content@helloomylife.com by content@helloomylife.com
October 1, 2025
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LAS VEGAS — Name it the duel within the desert. The Las Vegas Aces and Phoenix Mercury will meet within the 2025 WNBA Finals.

The franchises, positioned roughly 300 miles aside, have each received a number of titles however have by no means met within the championship collection earlier than.

The No. 2 seed Aces outlasted the No. 6 seed Indiana Fever 107-98 in extra time Tuesday in Sport 5 of their semifinal collection. Now they host the Mercury on Friday in Sport 1 (8 p.m. ET, ESPN). Phoenix, the No. 4 seed, eradicated the No. 1 seed Minnesota Lynx 3-1 on Sunday.

The Aces, led by four-time MVP A’ja Wilson, received WNBA titles in 2022 and 2023. The Mercury’s championships have been in 2007, 2009 and 2014, all with Diana Taurasi because the group’s star. She retired after final season, and a retooled roster — led by triple-double standout Alyssa Thomas — has Phoenix again within the Finals for the primary time since 2021.

The WNBA Finals might be a best-of-seven format for the primary time, so this may very well be a history-making collection. Here’s a breakdown of how the groups match up.

Common-season collection: Las Vegas went 3-1 in opposition to Phoenix

June 15: Mercury 76, Aces 70 (at Las Vegas)
June 29: Aces 84, Mercury 81 (at Phoenix)
Aug. 15: Aces 86, Mercury 83 (at Phoenix)
Aug. 21: Aces 83, Mercury 61 (at Las Vegas)


How Phoenix acquired right here

The Mercury misplaced Sport 1 at residence within the best-of-three first spherical and on the highway within the best-of-five semifinals, in order that they’ve proved their mettle away from residence and in elimination video games.

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After a 13-point loss in Sport 1 of the semifinals in opposition to Minnesota, Phoenix received every of the subsequent three video games by single digits, dominating within the fourth quarter in every. In Game 2, the Mercury overcame a 20-point deficit to tie the report for largest highway comeback in WNBA playoff historical past. The Game 3 win at residence will most certainly be remembered for the controversial closing 22 seconds, but in addition featured one other large Mercury end. In Game 4, Phoenix began chilly, trailing by 14 within the first quarter and by 13 coming into the ultimate body, earlier than pulling out the 86-81 victory.

How Las Vegas acquired right here

Las Vegas was .500 on the All-Star break earlier than using a 16-game profitable streak into the playoffs. That sizzling streak extended to 17 with a Sport 1 win within the first spherical — however then the Aces misplaced three of their subsequent six postseason video games earlier than Tuesday’s overtime win clinched a spot within the Finals. Las Vegas beat Seattle 2-1 within the best-of-three first-round collection, then needed to go the space to get rid of No. 6 Indiana within the best-of-five semis.

On Tuesday, Wilson recorded her WNBA-record third profession 35-point recreation in a series-clinching win. The four-time MVP additionally turned the primary participant with 35 factors, 5 rebounds and 5 assists in a playoff recreation.


Alyssa Thomas, left, and A’ja Wilson have confronted off 26 occasions of their WNBA careers, counting the common season and playoffs. Wilson has a 17-9 edge general, 6-3 within the playoffs. Ethan Miller/Getty Photographs

What we’re listening to in regards to the Aces

Contemplating their lengthy profitable streak, Las Vegas was the most popular group coming into the playoffs. However they struggled to shut out each of their playoffs collection to date.

They have been practically upset by No. 7 seed Seattle within the first spherical, pulling out a Sport 3 victory 74-73. Then it took extra time in Sport 5 of the semifinal for them to get previous Indiana, regardless of the Fever being depleted by damage and foul hassle.

That is one thing to be involved about going in opposition to the Mercury, who appear to be peaking within the playoffs. That mentioned, the Aces have a substantial amount of WNBA Finals expertise to rely on: Each Chelsea Gray and Wilson have been Finals MVPs for the Aces. Jackie Young additionally has been an important a part of Las Vegas’ previous championships. Jewell Loyd received two WNBA titles when she was with Seattle.

It took about 2½ months for the Aces to determine themselves out this season. As soon as they did, they have been formidable the remainder of the common season. They now have a number of days earlier than the Finals to get a deal with on the place they’ve fallen brief within the playoffs regardless of advancing, as a result of they cannot have the identical sort of lapses in opposition to Phoenix. — Michael Voepel

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Phoenix Mercury attain Finals after taking down Minnesota Lynx

The Phoenix Mercury come from behind to beat the Minnesota Lynx in Sport 4 to succeed in the WNBA Finals.

What we’re listening to in regards to the Mercury

Rebuilds often take years to achieve success, however of their first season with out Taurasi and Brittney Griner, the franchise’s two former cornerstones, the Mercury are headed again to the Finals for the primary time since 2021.

Embracing an underdog mentality has fueled the Mercury all through the season. Phoenix returned simply two gamers from 2024 — Kahleah Copper and Natasha Mack — and is the fifth group in league historical past to lose no less than 70% of its scoring from the earlier season (71.3%), in keeping with ESPN Insights. The opposite 4 groups all had dropping data the next season.

With two of their large three — Copper and Satou Sabally — lacking prolonged time within the common season due to damage, Phoenix wasn’t totally wholesome till late July. At first of August, Sabally instructed ESPN she felt her group was taking part in at 80% of its functionality. The Mercury hoped that via the final month of the common season they’d meld all of their items collectively. They did.

Their rookies — Kathryn Westbeld, Sami Whitcomb and Monique Akoa Makani — have been revelations. The addition of DeWanna Bonner in early July supplied their bench with wanted expertise. And their large three have thrived collectively.

They have been underdogs once more as they entered the postseason, going through defending champion New York within the first spherical and this yr’s title favourite, Minnesota, within the semifinals. The Mercury are the fourth group in WNBA historical past to get rid of each groups that participated within the earlier yr’s Finals inside a single postseason. — Kendra Andrews


What is that this collection’ X issue?

The group whose large three performs the very best will win the title.

So typically in championship video games or collection, we search for one unsung hero, one seemingly unexpected second that may determine the end result. This collection will not be that difficult or unpredictable. It should come right down to the performances of Wilson, Younger and Grey for the Aces and Thomas, Sabally and Copper for the Mercury. Certain, there is likely to be a giant Sami Whitcomb 3-pointer, or a stretch the place Dana Evans provides the Aces some additional vitality — however that is in regards to the stars.

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Their influence was on show in each Las Vegas’ and Phoenix’s semifinal close-out video games. Wilson (35), Younger (32) and Grey (17) mixed for 84 of the Aces’ 107 factors; Thomas (23), Sabally (21) and Copper (13) have been the Mercury’s three main scorers of their comeback win over Minnesota in Sport 4. The benefit will go to the trio that separates itself, even when it is by a small margin.

Throw out the primary time these groups met within the common season (a Mercury win) as a result of Wilson didn’t play. Within the closing three conferences, the MVP was the very best participant on the ground, averaging 25.0 factors. Younger scored in double digits in every of these video games and Grey had no less than 9. Conversely, in a single Phoenix loss, Sabally had simply 10 factors on 3-of-14 capturing. In the latest matchup, Copper had simply six factors. Las Vegas received all three of these video games. The Aces will win their third title in 4 years if that latest historical past repeats itself. — Charlie Creme


How large is Phoenix’s relaxation benefit after Las Vegas needed to go to extra time to win Sport 5 on Tuesday?

I do not assume it is going to be a lot of an element. Las Vegas will nonetheless get two full days off with none journey. Whereas the Aces will sleep properly after going the space in opposition to the Fever, they are going to be doing it in their very own beds. Even with the additional two days to prep, the Mercury nonetheless needed to wait to search out out their opponent. The remainder may assist just a little, however 48 extra hours right now of yr most likely means little. Adrenaline is overcoming any fatigue for many of those gamers, and each groups have all their common rotations totally wholesome heading into the best-of-seven collection. — Creme


How they match up

Whereas solely two gamers returned from final season’s Mercury group (Copper and Mack), the Aces have six gamers again from final season, and 5 of them — Wilson, Grey, Younger, Kiah Stokes and Kierstan Bell — have been additionally on Las Vegas’ 2022 and 2023 title groups.

Throughout the common season, the Aces and Mercury have been shut to one another in classes similar to scoring common (83.6 and 82.8), internet ranking (plus-3.7 and plus-3.4) and efficient area aim proportion (50.6 and 50.2). Similar for 3-pointers per recreation, though the Mercury had the slight edge there with 9.4 to the Aces’ 9.1.

There was just a little extra separation with defensive ranking, because the Mercury have been at 102.5 and the Aces 104.4. Up to now, the Aces have been a greater defensive group than they’ve been this yr, however Las Vegas has improved in that space since its season turnaround started in early August.

As for the groups’ two largest stars, Wilson and Thomas have confronted off 26 occasions of their WNBA careers, counting each common season and playoffs. Wilson has a 17-9 edge general, 6-3 within the playoffs. Wilson has averaged 21.0 factors, 10.1 rebounds and a couple of.8 blocks in these playoff matchups in opposition to Thomas, who has averaged 15.4 factors, 8.4 rebounds and 5.1 assists.

The groups’ coaches, Las Vegas’ Becky Hammon and Phoenix’s Nate Tibbetts, each spent a number of years as NBA assistants earlier than taking up as WNBA head coaches. Hammon was a San Antonio Spurs assistant from 2014-2022, and Tibbetts was an assistant from 2011-2023 with the Cleveland Cavaliers, Portland Path Blazers and Orlando Magic. — Voepel



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